Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
REG
1 - 2
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 1
COS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
BAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
LAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
NAP
4 - 2
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
MES
4 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
COS
1 - 0
MES
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |