Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAL
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
SSS
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
USF
1 - 1
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 0
VER
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
MES
3 - 1
USA
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
USF
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
PAL
2 - 2
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
MES
2 - 2
FCC
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 1
MES
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |