Sambenedettese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASG
2 - 3
SSS
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ANC
1 - 2
SSS
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 2
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
ASL
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 0
ABN
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |