Sambenedettese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
23.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
36%
33%
31%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
SSS
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
40%
32%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 0
SSS
67%
23%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 0
BRE
45%
32%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 0
MAT
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 1
VER
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |