Sambenedettese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SAM
0 - 0
SSS
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 2
PES
43%
30%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PRG
4 - 0
SSS
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
44%
29%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
UDI
2 - 0
SSS
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
BRE
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
USF
1 - 0
LEC
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 3
ACM
1%
16%
83%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
LEC
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |