Sambenedettese vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
28.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 0
SSS
52%
30%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASC
32%
32%
37%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
CES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
TRI
41%
32%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 2
BOL
48%
32%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
ARZ
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
61%
25%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
CAT
3 - 2
GEN
45%
30%
25%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 2
EMP
58%
26%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |