Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ASG
0 - 0
SSS
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 0
RIM
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ABN
0 - 0
SSS
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 0
FCS
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 2
SSS
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IMO
0 - 0
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TER
2 - 0
FER
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
ABN
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |