Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
SSS
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 1
REC
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSS
5 - 2
OLY
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JES
0 - 2
SSS
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AMI
3 - 4
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
REC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 1
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
GIU
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ISE
1 - 0
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |