Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
SSS
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SSS
1 - 0
AMI
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
JES
2 - 0
SSS
17%
22%
62%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -3 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIV
3 - 3
SSS
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 3
GIU
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
6 - 3
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |