Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
RIM
3 - 1
SSS
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 1
USF
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
GIU
2 - 1
SSS
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
SSS
3 - 1
PAD
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
SSS
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
FER
2 - 1
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
1 - 1
FER
56%
26%
18%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
FER
0 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |