Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BEN
4 - 0
SSS
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 2
VIT
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
SSS
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SSS
0 - 0
GIU
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
TER
1 - 2
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
FCC
34%
31%
35%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LAQ
3 - 0
FER
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
GIU
3 - 1
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |