Sambenedettese vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 4
SSS
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SSS
3 - 2
CHI
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SSS
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
SSS
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
USF
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
GIU
2 - 3
CRO
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
BEN
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |