Sambenedettese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
25.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
ARZ
2 - 1
SSS
47%
32%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
PES
1 - 0
SSS
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
PRG
47%
32%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
SSS
48%
32%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
LAZ
42%
32%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASS
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 0
FCC
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
FCC
1 - 0
BOL
52%
30%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCC
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
FCC
1 - 1
GEN
45%
31%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |