Sambenedettese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
12.7%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.6%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
18.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.9%
22.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CES
0 - 0
SSS
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 0
LEC
36%
31%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 1
SSS
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 1
USC
53%
29%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCC
47%
31%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 1
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 2
FCC
49%
31%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 0
TER
64%
22%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |