Sambenedettese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
VNZ
3 - 0
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAN
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 1
SSS
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
VER
1 - 0
FCC
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FCC
3 - 1
USF
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
REG
2 - 0
FCC
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
FCC
3 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |