Sambenedettese vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 1
SSS
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 2
POR
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 4
REC
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
2 - 0
SSS
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 2
SSS
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAT
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
FAN
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAN
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 2
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |