Sambenedettese vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
SSS
37%
25%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SSS
2 - 2
ANC
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
SSS
11%
20%
70%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SSS
3 - 2
JES
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
SSS
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
60%
24%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 2
CIV
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 1
FID
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIS
2 - 1
CIV
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 1
TER
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |