Sambenedettese vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RCA
2 - 2
SSS
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SSS
1 - 3
TER
30%
28%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ISE
2 - 0
SSS
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SSS
2 - 1
RIC
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SSS
1 - 1
VIS
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
0 - 0
REA
57%
22%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RCA
1 - 2
CIV
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
3 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 0
ISE
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATE
1 - 2
CIV
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |