Sambenedettese vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 1
SSS
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 1
AVE
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FER
3 - 3
SSS
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SSS
0 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REC
1 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAS
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |