Sambenedettese vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
REC
2 - 2
SSS
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 1
MAC
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
SSS
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 4
CHI
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 2
SSS
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
GIU
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
REC
2 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAC
16%
23%
62%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
VIS
3 - 0
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |