Sambenedettese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
19%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.6%
34.6%
Draw
0-0
20%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.1%
0
34.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAR
41%
33%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
PES
2 - 0
SSS
59%
27%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
33%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
25%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
ARZ
43%
32%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 0
PIS
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 0
BOL
47%
32%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
27%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
55%
28%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |