Sambenedettese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
26.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
CAM
1 - 0
SSS
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
SSS
0 - 1
CAV
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
PIS
49%
30%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 2
SSS
60%
26%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
USF
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 0
VAR
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAM
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VAR
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
39%
31%
30%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |