Sambenedettese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
27.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAV
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 1
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
SSS
0 - 0
PIS
40%
32%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
RIM
1 - 1
SSS
58%
27%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 2
VER
42%
32%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
RIM
1 - 0
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAV
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
USF
0 - 0
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 0
SAM
54%
26%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |