Sambenedettese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
TER
2 - 0
SSS
64%
24%
13%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASS
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
28%
31%
42%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
BRE
0 - 0
SSS
63%
24%
13%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 1
PAL
60%
26%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 4
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
COM
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
VIC
2 - 0
VAR
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
PES
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |