Sambenedettese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
SSS
62%
24%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
TER
37%
32%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 0
BRI
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
USF
0 - 0
SSS
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAT
70%
22%
9%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
69%
22%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 2
VAR
48%
29%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 0
AVE
68%
22%
10%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |