Sambenedettese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
10.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.2%
33.6%
Draw
0-0
18%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.6%
27.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
SSS
55%
29%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAM
45%
33%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
BRE
43%
34%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
CES
2 - 2
BRE
56%
28%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ASS
3 - 2
CES
41%
33%
26%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
VIC
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CES
56%
26%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |