Sambenedettese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
31.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 0
SSS
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 1
COM
45%
32%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 0
SSS
55%
29%
16%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 1
GEN
38%
32%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
SSS
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CES
0 - 2
PAL
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
51%
29%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 2
CES
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
45%
31%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |