Sambenedettese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
27.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
PES
3 - 1
SSS
64%
24%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 0
PAL
36%
31%
33%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SSS
3 - 1
VAR
38%
31%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
49%
28%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
UDI
48%
30%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
USF
0 - 0
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |