Sambenedettese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
27.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
SSS
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
5 - 0
MOD
56%
28%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
42%
31%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
SSS
52%
29%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CES
3 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
45%
29%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
ASS
52%
29%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 1
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |