SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
SSM
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 1
BIS
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 0
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 4
POM
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FON
3 - 1
SSM
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
FRA
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POM
1 - 2
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 2
REA
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SER
0 - 0
FRA
21%
22%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
RPO
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |