SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Paganese analysis

SS Manfredonia Calcio Paganese
42 ELO 45
-2.5% Tilt -8.8%
5514º General ELO ranking 5003º
200º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
36%
SS Manfredonia Calcio
25.6%
Draw
38.4%
Paganese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.4%
Win probability
Paganese
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SS Manfredonia Calcio
-16%
-32%
Paganese

Points and table prediction

SS Manfredonia Calcio
Their league position
Paganese
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
18º
10º
45
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Team Altamura
72
72
100%
Martina Franca
66
66
100%
Nardò
65
65
100%
Fidelis Andria
61
61
100%
Virtus Casarano
53
53
0%
Matera
53
53
0%
Palmese
47
47
100%
Paganese
45
45
100%
Gelbison
43
43
0%
SS Manfredonia Calcio
10º
43
43
10º
0%
Rotonda
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Gravina
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Città di Fasano
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Angri
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Gallipoli
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Barletta
16º
31
31
16º
0%
USD Bitonto
17º
31
31
17º
0%
Santa Maria Cilento
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SS Manfredonia Calcio
Paganese
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SS Manfredonia Calcio
Paganese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SS Manfredonia Calcio
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
ACC
Angri
2 - 2
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
38%
23%
40%
40 35 5 0
21 Jan. 2024
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
0 - 1
Città di Fasano
ASF
43%
24%
33%
42 42 0 -2
14 Jan. 2024
ASD
Team Altamura
1 - 1
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
62%
22%
17%
42 52 10 0
07 Jan. 2024
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1 - 0
Martina Franca
MAR
32%
25%
43%
42 50 8 0
20 Dec. 2023
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
2 - 1
Gravina
FBC
45%
25%
30%
41 45 4 +1

Matches

Paganese
Paganese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
PAG
Paganese
2 - 0
Gallipoli
GAL
53%
24%
24%
46 41 5 0
21 Jan. 2024
MAT
Matera
1 - 0
Paganese
PAG
45%
25%
30%
48 47 1 -2
14 Jan. 2024
PAG
Paganese
1 - 1
Nardò
NAR
29%
27%
44%
48 54 6 0
07 Jan. 2024
SSB
Barletta
0 - 1
Paganese
PAG
54%
23%
23%
47 50 3 +1
20 Dec. 2023
PAG
Paganese
2 - 1
Città di Fasano
ASF
46%
24%
30%
47 44 3 0