SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
18º
16º
47
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCF
2 - 0
SSM
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SSM
0 - 3
NOC
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ACC
0 - 0
SSM
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
1 - 0
SSM
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SSM
0 - 3
MAT
32%
24%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAR
0 - 2
FIA
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 2
NAR
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 10 | 47 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAR
0 - 0
FCF
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAR
1 - 3
NOC
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UGE
0 - 1
NAR
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |