SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 2
SSM
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SSM
2 - 2
TAR
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
SSM
62%
23%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SSM
3 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
7%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PIC
4 - 1
SSM
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
TUR
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 1
NFR
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |