SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACI
0 - 0
SSM
25%
26%
49%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SSM
3 - 2
ASN
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
JUS
4 - 0
SSM
73%
18%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SSM
2 - 2
FCC
43%
28%
29%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 2
SSM
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 0
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SSC
3 - 2
ASM
55%
24%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 0
SIR
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASM
39%
26%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 2
RAA
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |