SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SSB
0 - 0
SSM
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SSM
0 - 1
COS
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASN
0 - 0
SSM
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SSM
0 - 0
FCC
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ASA
0 - 1
SSM
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 0
VIG
39%
29%
32%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 1
USV
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASM
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |