La Capricorne vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PSL
1 - 1
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
MAR
24%
24%
51%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCC
3 - 0
CAP
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 0
CAP
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 0
LEO
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 1
TBF
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
PAU
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PAU
2 - 2
SDF
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
PAU
3 - 2
JEA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAU
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |