La Capricorne vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 1
SDF
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SDE
2 - 1
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 4
SAI
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAP
4 - 0
PET
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
PET
47%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JEA
0 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
PIE
48%
26%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |