La Capricorne vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 3
CAP
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 0
PIE
48%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
CAP
44%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 1
PAU
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
PAU
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
SAI
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
PET
0 - 2
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEN
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |