La Capricorne vs Petite-Île analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 1
CAP
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JEA
2 - 1
CAP
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 1
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 3
PIE
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Petite-Île
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
PET
1 - 2
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PIE
2 - 0
PET
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PET
1 - 1
SAI
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
4 - 0
PET
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PET
4 - 4
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |