Cavese 1919 vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JUS
2 - 2
CAV
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 0
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
CAV
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 1
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 3
CAV
26%
23%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
REG
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 1
PAG
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
BIS
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 3
MON
16%
22%
63%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |