Cavese 1919 vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 1
TAR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
AUD
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAV
0 - 0
NFR
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SSM
1 - 5
CAV
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAV
13%
20%
68%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 1
FON
55%
24%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FON
2 - 2
PAG
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |