Cavese 1919 vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAV
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAV
2 - 1
UNI
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TER
1 - 0
CAV
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
CAV
1 - 1
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAV
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
VER
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAG
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
3 - 1
VNZ
34%
29%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
TER
2 - 1
PAG
57%
25%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
5 - 0
PAG
59%
25%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |