Cavese 1919 vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LIC
2 - 2
CAV
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
FCS
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 0
ASD
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GEL
0 - 0
CAV
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 1
USV
75%
18%
8%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
ASD
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
MES
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
USV
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
MES
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |