Cavese 1919 vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
NFR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SIC
1 - 3
CAV
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 0
POM
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
GLA
0 - 1
CAV
14%
19%
67%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
CAV
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
6 - 2
USC
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
2 - 2
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
GEL
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 0
GRA
73%
18%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |