Cavese 1919 vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 3
CAV
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
REG
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 0
CAV
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
5 - 4
PAL
79%
12%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 1
CAV
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 1
LEO
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
4 - 1
GEL
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 0
SAR
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
GEL
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 3
DTO
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |