Cavese 1919 vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
CAV
7%
14%
79%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
GLA
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
CAV
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 1
CAV
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 2
GEL
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FCI
2 - 1
SAR
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 1
NFR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
FCI
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 0
USC
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
FCI
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |