Cavese 1919 vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
CAV
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 1
AGR
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAV
2 - 2
FOL
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 0
CAV
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAV
2 - 0
JUS
37%
29%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 1
ASD
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 1
CIT
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |