Cavese 1919 vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
2 - 1
MOL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 3
CAV
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
2 - 2
ASF
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAR
1 - 1
CAV
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
4 - 0
MAT
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 1
VAS
28%
25%
46%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
RCF
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
VAS
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UST
1 - 2
VAS
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |