Cavese 1919 vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 4
CAV
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAV
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CAV
2 - 2
PAD
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
CAV
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CAV
3 - 0
LEC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
CTT
1 - 0
VER
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
TER
1 - 2
CTT
24%
28%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CTT
3 - 3
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 1
CTT
30%
29%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASS
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |