Cassino vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 0
SSC
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 0
SSC
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SSC
2 - 1
VIG
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 1
SSC
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SSC
0 - 2
PRO
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
VIG
64%
20%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GEL
2 - 1
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
BEN
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
COS
1 - 3
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 0
REA
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |